Kajadian ékonomi nu bakal datang 26 Nopémber 2024

Waktos (GMT+0/UTC+0)	nagara	kapentingan	kajadian	ramalan	saméméhna
05:00		titik 2	BoJ Core CPI (YoY)	1.8%	1.7%
10:00		titik 2	ECB McCaul Nyarios	---	---
13:00		titik 2	Izin Mendirikan Bangunan (Okt)	1.416M	1.425M
14:00		titik 2	S&P / CS HPI komposit - 20 n.s.a. (YoY) (Sep)	5.1%	5.2%
14:00		titik 2	S&P / CS HPI komposit - 20 n.s.a. (Ibu) (Sep)	---	-0.3%
15:00		titik 3	Kapercayaan Konsumén CB (Nov)	112.0	108.7
15:00		titik 2	Penjualan Imah Anyar (MoM) (Okt)	---	4.1%
15:00		titik 3	Penjualan Imah Anyar (Okt)	724K	738K
18:00		titik 2	5-Taun Catetan Lelang	---	4.138%
19:00		titik 3	Menit Rapat FOMC	---	---
21:30		titik 2	Saham Minyak Atah Mingguan API	---	4.753M

Ringkesan Kajadian Ékonomi Ka hareup dina 26 Nopémber 2024

1. CPI Inti BoJ Jepang (YoY) (05:00 UTC):
   • ramalan: 1.8%, saméméhna: 1.7%.
     This indicator measures core inflation for Japan. A higher-than-expected reading would signal increasing inflationary pressures, potentially supporting the JPY by increasing speculation about a shift in BoJ policy.
2. ECB McCaul Nyarios (10:00 UTC):
   Remarks from ECB Supervisory Board Member Edouard Fernandez-Bollo McCaul may offer insights into financial stability or monetary policy. Hawkish comments would support the EUR, while dovish remarks might weaken it.
3. US Building Permits (Oct) (13:00 UTC):
   • ramalan: 1.416 juta, saméméhna: 1.425M.
     Building permits serve as a leading indicator of construction activity. A lower reading may signal slowing growth in the housing sector, potentially softening the USD.
4. US S&P/CS HPI Composite – 20 (Sep) (14:00 UTC):
   • YoY Forecast: 5.1%, saméméhna: 5.2%.
   • MoM Previous: -salapan%.
     This index tracks home prices in 20 major US cities. Declines in prices would signal cooling housing demand, potentially weighing on the USD, while stronger figures would indicate resilience in the housing market.
5. US CB Consumer Confidence (Nov) (15:00 UTC):
   • ramalan: 112.0, saméméhna: 108.7.
     A higher reading indicates greater consumer optimism, supporting the USD by suggesting stronger consumer spending. A decline could weigh on the currency.
6. US New Home Sales (Oct) (15:00 UTC):
   • MoM Previous: 4.1%.
   • Sales Forecast: 724 saméméhna: 738K.
     A decline in sales would indicate weaker housing demand, potentially pressuring the USD. Stronger data would suggest economic resilience, supporting the currency.
7. Lelang Catetan 5 Taun AS (18:00 UTC):
   • Ngahasilkeun saméméhna: 4.138%.
     Rising yields signal higher inflation expectations or risk premiums, supporting the USD. Lower yields may indicate reduced demand for US debt, softening the currency.
8. Menit Rapat FOMC (19:00 UTC):
   Detailed minutes from the latest Federal Reserve meeting may provide further insights into the Fed’s policy outlook. Hawkish signals would support the USD, while dovish tones could weaken it.
9. Stok Minyak Atah Mingguan API (21:30 UTC):
   • saméméhna: 4.753M.
     A larger-than-expected inventory build would signal weaker demand, pressuring oil prices. A drawdown would indicate stronger demand, supporting oil prices and commodity-linked currencies.

Analisis Dampak Pasar

• CPI Inti BoJ Jepang:
  A higher-than-expected CPI reading would support the JPY, increasing speculation about potential monetary policy adjustments by the Bank of Japan. A lower reading may reinforce the BoJ’s dovish stance, weighing on the currency.
• Biantara ECB McCaul:
  Hawkish comments would support the EUR by signaling a commitment to combating inflation. Dovish remarks would indicate caution, potentially weighing on the EUR.
• US Housing Data (Building Permits, Home Sales, S&P/CS HPI):
  Positive readings would indicate resilience in the housing market, supporting the USD. Weak data may signal cooling economic activity, potentially softening the currency.
• Kapercayaan Konsumén CB AS:
  Higher confidence would suggest stronger consumer spending and economic resilience, supporting the USD. Lower-than-expected confidence would weigh on the currency.
• US FOMC Meeting Minutes:
  Hawkish minutes signaling concerns about inflation or additional rate hikes would support the USD. Dovish minutes indicating caution or rate pause considerations could soften the currency.
• Stok Minyak Mentah API:
  A large inventory build would suggest weaker demand, pressuring oil prices. A drawdown would indicate tightening supply, supporting oil prices and energy-linked currencies.

Dampak Gemblengna

volatility:
High, with significant data on US housing, consumer confidence, and FOMC meeting minutes shaping expectations for growth, inflation, and monetary policy.

Skor Dampak: 7/10, driven by key housing data, consumer sentiment, and insights from FOMC minutes, alongside oil inventory data influencing energy markets.